Crypto Market Eyes Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, SOL Max Pain Price as CPI Data Looms
Crypto market traders are bracing for Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Solana (SOL) options expiry today. Traders anticipate short-term volatility in the broader crypto market ahead of next week’s US CPI and PPI inflation data releases. Seasonality, cooling jobless claims, and US-Iran technical talks have sparked a recovery in crypto prices.
Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, and SOL jumped amid a fall in oil prices, US Treasury yields, and the US dollar index. Crypto market sets eyes on max pain amid potential recovery further.
Crypto Market Braces for $1.5 Billion Bitcoin Options Expiry
According to Deribit data, more than 23K BTC options with a notional value of almost $1.5 billion expire on July 10, with a put-call ratio of 1. In the last 24 hours, call volume remains higher than put volume with a put-call ratio of 0.75, indicating a neutral stance among traders.
Moreover, max pain price is at $62,000, lower than the current Bitcoin price of $64,100. This shows a high odds of a pullback, but implied volatility and 25-delta skew signaled traders expect crypto market to remain flat.
Options traders are selling out-of-the-money calls, which indicates that institutions generally agree the market lacks upward momentum. This could keep Bitcoin price below $65K resistance level.
Ethereum Options with $250 Million in Notional Value to Expire
Over 140K ETH options with a notional value of $248 million are set to expire. The put-call ratio is 1.27. However, call volume has exceeded put volumes over the last 24 hours, with a bullish put-call ratio of 0.81.
Also, the max pain point is at $1,700, below the current market price. Notably, the call bets are higher at the strike price, indicating lower chances of massive selling pressure. Traders expect ETH price to move towards $1,800 after this week’s options expiry.
Ethereum price jumped almost 2% over the past 24 hours amid hopes of US-Iran talks to continue and broader crypto market recovery. The 24-hour low and high are $1,730 and $1,786, respectively. However, trading volume has dropped by 13%.
XRP and Solana (SOL) Max Pain Price
XRP options of notional value $2.47 million to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.76. The max pain price is at $1.06, indicating the key level to watch as the crypto asset shows higher volatility amid whale moves.
XRP price climbed 1.50% to $1.11, rising above the max pain price despite massive net outflows of $7.29 million from Bitwise XRP ETF. It saw a massive drop in trading volume over the past 24 hours.
Meanwhile, $17 million in Solana options will expire today, with a put-call ratio of 0.40. The max pain price is $75, lower than the current market price. However, traders eye upside momentum towards $80 strike price.
Crypto market traders await US CPI inflation data for cues before making further trades. Core inflation is projected to come in at 0.3% against 0.2% US CPI inflation print last month, keeping Core CPI YoY stable at 2.9%.
Cleveland Fed data showed the annual CPI inflation rate cooled from 4.2% in May to 3.9% in June. However, Goldman Sachs claims the combined effects of AI-induced increases in memory, software, and electricity prices are boosting inflation in the US.
Aside from adjusting their options positions, many macro-focused traders are actively placing wagers on the best crypto prediction markets to speculate directly on whether the core CPI will meet expectations.
